{"id":18721,"date":"2022-03-05T16:00:18","date_gmt":"2022-03-05T11:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kommers.uz\/?p=18721"},"modified":"2022-03-05T17:27:41","modified_gmt":"2022-03-05T12:27:41","slug":"jpmorgan-rossiyani-1998-jildagi-kabi-iqtisodij-inqiroz-havfidan-ogohlantirdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/?p=18721","title":{"rendered":"JPMorgan Rossiyani 1998 yildagi kabi iqtisodiy inqiroz xavfidan ogohlantirdi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>JPMorgan\u02bbning ogohlantirishicha, Rossiya 1998 yildagidan ham yomonroq iqtisodiy inqirozga duch kelishi mumkin. Bu haqda Bloomberg nashri JPMorgan Chase tahlilchilari hisobotiga tayanib <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2022-03-04\/jpmorgan-warns-russia-headed-for-1998-like-collapse-in-economy\">xabar berdi<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Ma\u02bclum qilinishicha, JPMorgan 2022 yil Rossiya yalpi ichki mahsuloti 7 foizga qisqarishini kutmoqda. Goldman Sachs, o\u02bbz navbatida, Rossiya iqtisodiyotining 9 foizga pasayishini bashorat qilmoqda. 1998 yilgi inqirozda Rossiya iqtisodiyoti 5,3 foizga qisqargandi.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cSanksiyalar barqarorlikning ikki ustuniga putur yetkazmoqda \u2014 Markaziy bank valyuta zaxiralarining \u02bbqo\u02bbrg\u02bboni\u02bb va Rossiyaning joriy hisobidagi profitsit. Sanksiyalar chuqur tanazzulga yuz tutayotgan Rossiya iqtisodiyotida o\u02bbz izini qoldiradi\u201d, deyiladi JPMorgan hisobotda.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Shunga qaramay, investorlarning ta\u02bckidlashicha, Ukrainaga hujumning insoniy va geosiyosiy oqibatlari 1998 yilda kuzatilganidan kattaroq bo\u02bblsa-da, qisqa muddatli istiqbolda rublning pasayishi kamroq bo\u02bbldi va Moskvada defoltning oldini olish uchun ko\u02bbproq imkoniyatlar mavjud. Ayniqsa, agar boshqa davlatlar energiya eksportiga sanksiyalar joriy etishga qarshilik ko\u02bbrsatishda davom etsa.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cEng tashvishli narsa uzoq muddatli istiqboldir. Sanksiyalar qanchalik uzoq davom etsa, ayniqsa, agar ular gaz va neft eksportiga tatbiq etilsa, Rossiya kelgusi yillar davomida daxlsiz kapital bozoriga aylanishi ehtimoli shunchalik yuqori bo\u02bbladi\u201d, \u2014 deydi State Street Global Markets eksperti Tim Graf.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Bloomberg Economics hisob-kitoblariga ko\u02bbra, neft va gaz eksportini blokirovka qilish Rossiya iqtisodiyotini 2022 yilda taxminan 14 foizga qisqartirishi mumkin. Biroq G\u02bbarb davlatlari Rossiya energetika resurslariga nisbatan sanksiyalar qo\u02bbllashga shoshilmayapti, chunki ular bunday choralar o\u02bbz iqtisodiyotiga jiddiy salbiy ta\u02bcsir ko\u02bbrsatishidan qo\u02bbrqadi.<\/p>\n<p>Xuddi shunday prognozni avvalroq milliarder Oleg Deripaska ham aytgan edi. Uning so\u02bbzlariga ko\u02bbra, kamida yaqin uch yil ichida Rossiyani \u201cqattiq\u201d inqiroz kutmoqda.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cBuni tasavvur qilish uchun 1998 yilgi inqirozni uchga ko\u02bbpaytiring\u201d, \u2014 degan edi tadbirkor.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Avvalroq Rossiya banklari Ukrainaga hujum boshlanishidan oldin sanksiyalarning oqibatlarini prognoz qilgani haqida <a href=\"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/rossiya-banklari-ukrainaga-huzhum-boshlanishidan-oldin-sankcziyalarning-oqibatlarini-prognoz-qilgani-malum-boldi\">xabar berildi<\/a>. Shuningdek, Rossiya kompaniyalari yoppasiga Xitoy banklarida hisob raqam ochishni boshlagani <a href=\"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/rossiya-kompaniyalari-yoppasiga-hitoj-banklarida-hisob-raqam-ochishni-boshladi\">xabar qilindi<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mamlakat iqtisodiyoti 2022 yilda 7\u20139 foizga qisqarishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":18722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_sharing_image":[],"_sharing_image_fieldset":[],"_dinor_sponsored":false,"_dinor_sponsor_name":"","_dinor_reading_time":0,"_dinor_primary_term":0,"_dinor_featured":false,"_dinor_urgent":false,"_dinor_show_author":false,"_dinor_kicker":"","_dinor_summary":"","_dinor_sources":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"ptype":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18721"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18721"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18721\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18748,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18721\/revisions\/18748"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18722"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18721"},{"taxonomy":"ptype","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fptype&post=18721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}