{"id":14048,"date":"2022-01-25T09:30:12","date_gmt":"2022-01-25T04:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kommers.uz\/?p=14048"},"modified":"2022-01-25T10:22:20","modified_gmt":"2022-01-25T05:22:20","slug":"ozbekistonning-2022-jil-1-choragi-uchun-yaim-prognozi-elon-qilindi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/?p=14048","title":{"rendered":"O\u02bbzbekistonning 2022 yil 1-choragi uchun YAIM prognozi e\u02bclon qilindi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Iqtisodiy tadqiqotlar va islohotlar markazi O\u02bbzbekistonning 2022 yil 1-choragi uchun YAIM prognozini e\u02bclon qildi<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Ma\u02bclum qilinishicha, Iqtisodiy tadqiqotlar va islohotlar markazi 2022 yil uchun YAIM prognozlarini batafsil katta ma\u02bclumotlar oqimiga asoslangan yangi yondashuv (noukasting) yordamida hisoblab chiqqan.<\/p>\n

Qayd etilishicha, 20 toifadagi 250 ga yaqin haftalik Google qidiruv natijalari, alohida mahsulotlar uchun narxlar smetalari hamda yalpi import va zaxiralarning asosiy ko\u02bbrsatkichlariga asoslanib haftalik YAIM prognozi tuzilgan.<\/p>\n

Prognozlar yalpi ichki mahsulotning chorak yakunlari ko\u02bbrsatkichlarida aniqlanmagan o\u02bbziga xos jihatlarini ochib bergan. Xususan, pandemiyaning o\u02bbtkir davrida O\u02bbzbekiston yalpi ichki mahsuloti sezilarli darajada sekinlashgan. Ayniqsa, sezilarli pasayish 2020 yilning mart-aprel oylarida kuzatilgan. 2021 yilning birinchi yarmida esa iqtisodiy o\u02bbsish sezilarli darajada ko\u02bbtarilgan.<\/p>\n

Ta\u02bckidlanishicha, YAIM o\u02bbsishining haftalik prognoz ko\u02bbrsatkichlarini jamlagan holda, O\u02bbzbekiston iqtisodiyotining 2022 yil birinchi choragida kutilayotgan o\u02bbsish darajasi aniqlangan. Unga ko\u02bbra, 2022 yil 1-choragida YAIMning real o\u02bbsish surati 2021 yil 1-choragiga nisbatan 4,92 foiz darajasida prognoz qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n

O\u02bbsishning asosiy omillari pandemiyadan keyin xalqaro savdoning tiklanishi, pul o\u02bbtkazmalari va ichki investitsiyalarning pandemiyadan avvalgi darajaga tiklanishi bo\u02bbladi. Shu bilan birga, iqtisodiy o\u02bbsish \u201comikron\u201d shtammining yangi to\u02bblqini va iqtisodiyotdagi tendensiyaning o\u02bbzgarishi kabi bir qator xavf omillariga ham bog\u02bbliq bo\u02bbladi. Ushbu omillarni hisobga olgan holda iqtisodiy o\u02bbsishning prognoz oralig\u02bbi 4,5\u20135,3 foiz darajasida belgilangan.<\/p>\n

Noukasting usuli \u2014 Google qidiruv tendensiyalari, veb-sahifalarda joylashtirilgan reklama va e\u02bclonlar, yangiliklar matni ma\u02bclumotlariga asoslangan holda qo\u02bbllaniladi. Bu usul bir qator rivojlangan mamlakatlar \u2014 Angliya banki, Yevropa Markaziy banki va Iqtisodiy hamkorlik va taraqqiyot tashkiloti tomonidan milliy iqtisodiy siyosatni ishlab chiqishda keng qo\u02bbllaniladi.<\/p>\n

Joriy usul muhim statistik ma\u02bclumotlar, ayniqsa, YAIM ko\u02bbrsatkichlarining sezilarli darajada kechikishlar bilan chop etilishi sababli dolzarb hisoblanadi. Ushbu prognoz iqtisodiyotning mehnat bozori va aholi farovonligi kabi o\u02bbziga xos jihatlarini baholash uchun ham qo\u02bbllaniladi.<\/p>\n

Bundan tashqari, Jahon banki dunyo iqtisodiyotining o\u02bbsish istiqbollari prognoz qilingandi<\/a>. Bankning xulosasiga ko\u02bbra, Yevropa Ittifoqi va postsovet davlatlari orasida yalpi ichki mahsulotning eng yuqori o\u02bbsishi O\u02bbzbekistonda bo\u02bblishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n

Qayd etilishicha, 2022 yilda O\u02bbzbekiston YAIMining o\u02bbsish sur\u02bcati 5,6 foizni tashkil etadi. Shuningdek, 2023 yilda mamlakatning ushbu iqtisodiy ko\u02bbrsatkichi yana o\u02bbsishda davom etib, 5,8 foizga yetishi taxmin qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n

Avvalroq Shavkat Mirziyoyev YAIMni 2025 yilgacha 100 milliard dollarga yetkazish rejalashtirilayotganini aytgandi<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

YAIMning 2021 yil 1-choragiga nisbatan o\u02bbsishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":14049,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_sharing_image":[],"_sharing_image_fieldset":[],"_dinor_sponsored":false,"_dinor_sponsor_name":"","_dinor_reading_time":0,"_dinor_primary_term":0,"_dinor_featured":false,"_dinor_urgent":false,"_dinor_show_author":false,"_dinor_kicker":"","_dinor_summary":"","_dinor_sources":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"ptype":[30],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14048"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14048"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14048\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14051,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14048\/revisions\/14051"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14049"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14048"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14048"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14048"},{"taxonomy":"ptype","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dinor.uz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fptype&post=14048"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}